The current policy prediction estimates global warming at 2.7°C, far above the Paris Agreement goal of limiting warming to 1.5°C.


Marmolada had an estimated volume of 0.03 km³ in 2020 and is expected to be mostly gone by 2052 (likely range: 2047 - 2058) under 2.7°C global warming (current policy prediction). This year, called the deglaciation year, marks the point when less than 10% of the glacier's 2020 volume is expected to remain.

If global warming is limited to 1.5°C (Paris Agreement), by 2100, 14% of the 2020 volume is expected to remain (14% more compared to 2.7°C).

Every 0.1°C avoided saves glaciers and limits impacts!

Volume evolution of Marmolada for 2.7°C.
Showing the volume evolution of Marmolada for a global warming level of 2.7°C.

Global Projections

The projections for Central Europe are not promising, even under 1.5°C warming. However, there are regions worldwide with a much larger potential for saving glacier ice. Visit the Regions page to explore other areas around the globe and visit the "How you can help preserve glacier ice?" page to get active.

Methods

If you're curious about how this animation and the figures were created, visit the Methods page.