The current policy prediction estimates global warming until 2100 at 2.7°C, far above the Paris Agreement goal of limiting warming to 1.5°C.
Oberaargletscher had an estimated volume of 0.14 km³ in
2020 and is expected to be mostly gone by
2053
(likely range:
2043 -
2076
)
under 2.7°C global warming
(current policy prediction).
We define 'mostly gone' as the year when either less than 10% of the
glacier's 2020 volume or less than 0.01 km³ is expected to remain - whichever
threshold is crossed first.
If global warming is limited to 1.5°C
(Paris Agreement),
by 2100, 19% of the 2020 volume
is expected to remain
(19%
more compared to 2.7°C).

Global Projections
The projections for Central Europe are not promising, even under 1.5°C warming. However, there are regions worldwide with a much larger potential for saving glacier ice. Visit the "Regions" page to explore other areas around the globe and visit the "How to preserve" page to get active.
Methods
If you're curious about how this animation and the figures were created, visit the Methods page.